03 May 2008
02 May 2008
01 May 2008
Buzz 2.0 - Update: Whatchamacallit***
If Whatchamacallit doesn't make it as a buzz word, the whole article by Bernard Lunn should at least reach some cult status.
Update 080506: just added Global Graph, also Giant Global Graph (used here by Tim Berners-Lee, endorsed here by Kevin Kelly).
Sososher* - Smart pre-launch promotion
I've stopped indexing stealth, alpha and pre-beta placeholder pages a long while ago (most of them never come alive).
But this one surely shows enough dedication and fun to make an exception.
Sososher's pre-launch "features include a News Letter sign up, playable MP3, an iPhone with a countdown timer – informing you of the launch date, links to our Face Book Fan Page and MySpace page, a flash puzzle - as and when there are further developments and the launch date gets nearer the hand will place another piece of the jigsaw on the desk, slowly revealing what Sososher is all about."
30 April 2008
Every EVERYTHING 2.0 shortlist
3D 2.0: 59 three dimensional 2.0 things
ABOUT 2.0: 116 secondary sources on developments in Web 2.0
ART 2.0: 21 ways to collaborate on, showcase, promote & share your art or put it up for sales
AUCTION 2.0: 20 ways to buy or sell goods & services through auctions
AUDIO 2.0: 331 ways to edit, mix, remix, publish, explore, tag, rate, share & maybe make some money on (free) fx, sounds, music, podcasts & internet
AUTOMOTIVE 2.0: 20 sources that help you to repair, sell or share (your love for) cars
AVID 2.0: 71 ways to download, capture, edit, mix, remix, convert, encode, subtitle, manipulate, animate, add sfx to, vodcast, share or sell videos
BI 2.0: 7 web based business intelligence solutions
BLOGGING 2.0: close to 344 ways to publish, spice up, promote, analyze & even make a few bucks on your blog, phlog or vlog
BOOKMARKING 2.0: 223 ways to validate, annotate, rate, manage, explore & share interesting links, and/or to promote your blog
BOOKS 2.0: 65 ways to enhance your reading, book collecting or writing experience
BRANDING 2.0: 17 ways to name, design, improve, interactivate, track, analyze & promote your 2.0 brand
BRILLIANT 2.0: 545 Web 2.0 phenomena with one or more strokes (*) of genius
BROWSER 2.0: 41 web & media browsers & browser plugins for your pc or cell
BUSINESS 2.0: 56 tools & sources that can help you to start up, organize, manage, improve, promote, sell & network for a company
CALCULATOR 2.0: 6 online calculator tools
CALENDAR 2.0: 87 ways to book, schedule, organize, manage & share or opt in to meetings, flash mobs, events & parties
CAPTURING 2.0: 61 ways to download, grab, clip, datbase, organize, manage, edit, mix, publish & share or make money on data, pics, music & video
CHATTING 2.0: 68 ways to participate in, start or improve your own independent or integrated special chat
CHILDREN 2.0: 9 kid-friendly services
CMS 2.0: 147 content management solutions for portals, blogs, mags, chats, ranking sites, wikis, forums, communities,
CODING 2.0: 211 tools, sources, communities, libraries, repositories, platforms & frameworks for programmers & interaction designers
COLLABORATING 2.0: 244 sites where you can share & work together on ideas, documents, projects, sales, knowledge databasing, software, media & art
COMICS 2.0: 26 ways to create, render, upload, publish, share cartoons, strips & animations
COMMUNICATING 2.0: 65 special communication solutions
COMMUNITY 2.0: 726 ways to find back old or make new friends, to share & exchange emotions, opinions, content & other things you care about
CONTACT MANAGEMENT 2.0: 36 ways to database, manage, access, share & communicate with your contacts
CONTENT 2.0: 25 special ways to organize, publish, protect & share content
CONTENT COMMERCE 2.0: 208 ways to make a buck on creating, publishing & selling your texts, photos, music, video, software, game assets, etc.
CRM 2.0: 77 ways to organize your pipeline & sales a/o to socialize relationship management
DATA 2.0: 76 ways to build, visualize, organize, manage, search, analyze, protect, publish & share data
DATABASE 2.0: 139 ways to systematically explore, list, catalog, manage, publish & share bibliographies, discographies & other collections
DATING 2.0: 54 special, more or less social or open or random or funny, kinds of dating
DEAD 2.0: 5 more casualties in Web 2.0
DESIGN (ARCHITECTURAL -) 2.0: 11 sources for lovers of architecture & interior design
DESIGN (GRAPHICAL) 2.0: 68 online sources for graphic designers
DESIGN (INTERACTION -) 2.0: 77 sites where you can create, test, share or sell templates, forms, tours, buttons, favicons, maps & other front end design
DESIGN (PRODUCT -) 2.0: 40 sites where you can (learn how to) create & buy or sell your own stuff
DESIGN (TYPOGRAPHICAL) 2.0 - 11 sources for lovers of U&LC
DICTIONARY 2.0: 20 sources for lovers of words, quotes & other lexicographic candies
DOCUMENT MANAGEMENT 2.0: 48 ways to store, manage, edit, share & collaborate on documents
DRM 2.0: 13 ways to protect & manage your intellectual properties online
DUTCH 2.0: 179 Web 2.0-ish companies
ECOMMERCE 2.0: 593 ways to commercialize consumers' inclinations to collaborate, co-buy, review, rate & (geo)tag your shop's inventory & service
ECONOMY 2.0: 254 ways to ignore making a profit, or to ignore economical laws in other inspiring ways - online
EDUCATION 2.0: 17 services relevant to schools
E-LEARNING: 50 ways to faciliate, improve & promote distant learning
EMAIL 2.0: 149 variations on email
ENTERPRISE 2.0: 115 thin business critical solutions
EVENTS 2.0: 110 ways to search, select & invite for, book, organize & manage meetings & events
EXCEL 2.0: 14 ways to share spreadsheets
FAMILY 2.0: 46 ways to better track, manage, share knowledge on, do things with & communicate with your family
FASHION 2.0: 21 sites & apps where you can design, match & sell or buy original socks, T's & other fashion
FAX 2.0: 8 services connecting the web to the fax
FILE SHARING 2.0: 130 ways to upload, collaborate on & swap or share media & data
FINANCE 2.0: 154 ways to track, manage your investments, invoicing, expenses, loans, allowances online & a few ideas to disrupt the financial sector
FOOD 2.0: 47 ways to enjoy recipes, food, coffee, tea, wine & beer, restaurants & bars, lunch & dinner
FORUM 2.0: 60 forum & bulletin board solutions (last century's trailblazers of the social web!)
FUN 2.0: 49 parodies on Web 2.0-ish mantras, attitudes, styles, concepts & businesses
GAMBLING 2.0: 40 ways to bet on sports, stocks, etc.
GAMING 2.0: 189 ways to have fun with or make some money on games
GAY 2.0: 7 social things for gays & lesbians
GEO 2.0: 273 smart, funny or scary ways to create & explore maps
GEO LOCATION 2.0: 28 ways to dynamically locate people & places
GREEN 2.0: 19 sites where you can discuss & collaborate on environmental matters
GUIDE 2.0: 77 social directory guides
HEALTH 2.0: 62 ways to maintain & improve your health
HEREAFTER 2.0: 15 concepts extending your life to the future a/o the hereafter
HOME 2.0: 24 ways to swap, rent, buy, sell or improve your home
IDENTITY 2.0: 138 ways to manage your identity & reputation
ILLUSTRATING 2.0: 23 tools to sketch, draw, map & mock up online
IM 2.0: 140 instant messenger apps
IMAGING 2.0: 77 ways to create, animate or manipulate images
IRL 2.0: 21 blended concepts, connecting digital & real life
KNOWLEDGE 2.0: 248 ways to enhance & share your knowledge
LEGAL 2.0: 19 ways to deliver, manage & execute legal matters
LIFESTREAMING 2.0: 25 ways to instantly share your presence online
LIST 2.0: 112 ways to catalog, database
LOGISTICS 2.0: four web-enhanced transportation solutions
MARKETING 2.0: 374 ways to promote
MECOMMERCE 2.0: 41 tools to sell things because they are about YOU
MOBILITY 2.0: 24 new ways to experience transport
MOVIES 2.0: 29 cool sites to review, recommend & share films
MULTIMEDIA 2.0: 202 ways to explore & share dynamic media
MUSIC 2.0: 229 ways to find, select & listen to, or make money on music
NEWS 2.0: 193 tools to select or publish news
NOMADS 2.0: 25 tools for people on the move
NOTES 2.0: 71 ways to take, make & share notes
OFFICE 2.0: 17 tools that mimick or resemble MS Office
OPERATING SYSTEM 2.0: 39 Web OS alternatives
ORGANIZING 2.0: 128 ways to get more out of your time & team
PDF 2.0: 10 ways to create & convert pdf files
PERSONAL MANUFACTURING 2.0: 55 ways to design, prototype or make your tea, T-shirt, muesli, machine parts
PHONE 2.0: 547 telecom services
PHOTO 2.0: 336 ways to edit, upload, share, search, buy or sell pictures
PORN 2.0: 35 variations on adult, user qualified a/o generated sleaze
PRESENTATION 2.0: 39 ways to overwhelm your audience while avoiding Powerpoint
PRINTING 2.0: 13 ways to print your stuff on demand
PRODUCTIVITY 2.0: 215 ways to organize yourself & your team
PSP 2.0: 28 ways to pay or get paid
PUBLISHING 2.0: 757 ways to express yourself
RADIO 2.0: 45 ways to get or make web radio
RATING 2.0: 385 samples of digging, ranking & recommending
REAL ESTATE 2.0: 53 new ways to swap, buy, let, or sell a house
RECRUITING 2.0: 167 ways to manage your career, or find talent
REPUTATION 2.0: 25 ways to manage your online reputation
RESEARCH 2.0: 91 ways to conduct, analyse & participate in online r&d
RETAIL 2.0: eight concepts that connect retail with etail
RSS 2.0: 301 ways to process, publish & share feeds
SALES 2.0: 18 useful things to organize & enhance sales
SCIENCE 2.0: 7 ways to explore, publish & share science info
SEARCH 2.0: 621 ways to find things
SECURITY 2.0: 19 ways to make this web a better place
SEMANTICS 2.0: 27 fuzzy ways to extract, search & analyse & data
SERVICE COMMERCE 2.0: 110 ways to sell, promote or buy small services
SMS 2.0: 49 more or less social text services
SNAILMAIL 2.0: 6 services connecting postal mail with the web
SOCIAL SOFTWARE 2.0: 73 ways to create communities & social media
SPORTS 2.0: 64 ways to explore & share sports media
STARTPAGE 2.0: 90 ways to create & share a personal portal
START-UP 2.0: 19 ways to plan & promote your start-up
STATS 2.0: 86 ways to track & analyze performance
STOCKS 2.0: 26 ways to track, discuss, rate, trade in, comment & share your knowledge & analysis on stocks - and explore predictive modelling
STORAGE 2.0: 223 services to store, backup & share files
TAGGING 2.0: 94 samples of putting labels to content, people & things
TASKS 2.0: 55 ways to keep an eye on tasks and chores
TELECONFERENCE 2.0: 10 ways to mimick a (video)phone conference over the web
TEST 2.0: 22 smart ways to test skills & software
TRANSLATING 2.0: 11 samples
TRAVEL 2.0: 122 ways to search & book trips, and co-publish tips
TREEMAPS 2.0: 16 links singing the love of presenting complex data sets
TV 2.0: 108 cool ways to watch & produce tv over ip
URL 2.0: 24 ways to find, generate, register & promote domain names, shorten URLs & generate URL-based IDs,
VAS 2.0: 84 remarkable services with a (potential) added value
VIDEO 2.0: 513 ways to edit, search, cast & protect video
VIDEOCOM 2.0: 18 special apps to talk face to face over the web
VISUALIZATION 2.0: 78 ways to visualize complex data sets
VOICE 2.0: 48 special ways to make your voice heard online
WIDGETS 2.0: 49 cool ways to unbundle content & services, and some more sources of cool widgetty stuff
WI-FI 2.0: 35 samples
WIKI 2.0: 61 ways to build, manage, share & co-publish encyclopedic knowledge
WORD 2.0: 22 ways to process words online (some collaboratively)
WRITING 2.0: 72 ways to write, process, publish, promote & collaborate on texts, poems, stories, scripts & books
DEAD 2.0: 5 more casualties in Web 2.0
Italic = new in this index. Related categories: ALL. For earlier updates cf. INDEX 2.0.
Azareus (now: Vuze) - Distribute bandwidth & share content - Coding
Edgeio - Find classified listings, publish your own - Marketing
Fauxto (now: Splashup) - Photo editor - Photo
Netscape (now: Propeller.com) - Edited & dug news - Rating
Youswap (now: Eatlime) - Store & send - Storage
180n - Choose what's news - News
3Dplanets - VR chat community - Communicate
Abetx - Auction betting exchange - Gamble
Ajchat - Create chat rooms - Communicate
Alexadex* (now: Urladex) - Buy & sell shares in sites - Game
Almondrocks - Share feeds - RSS
Ándale - Small online business sales tools - Ecommerce
Babamix - Upload, mix & share your media - Multimedia
Barewiki (now: Ottowiki) - Make a wiki in seconds - Publish
Beedeo - Upload & share videos - Video
Beeplet~ - Set up reminders & get alerts - RSS
Betafy - Get alerts about new Web 2.0 companies - About
Betbutler (now Danbook.com) - Betting exchange - Gamble
Betfanatic - Betting exchange - Gamble
Bettr - Vote on best Flickr photos - Images
Betxc - Betting exchange - Gamble
Binexx - Bet on stocks - Gamble
Blabb - Social bookmarking - Bookmark
Blogbeat (acquired by Feedburner) - Compare websites' Alexa rankings (formerly known as Alexaholic) - Stats
Blogbuy - Social market place - Ecommerce
Blogdex - Folksonomied blog topics selection - News
Bluepuddle - Create & enrich maps - Geo
Bluevex - Bet on sports & stocks - Gamble
Blufr - Multi-player trivia knowledge game - Game
Bookmarkme - Help create & download bookmarks - Bookmark
Brainjams - Share knowledge & collaborate on ideas - Knowledge
Breakinglocals - Local artists and fans community - Audio
Bringalink - Submit better links on front page articles' content - Bookmark
Broadmining - Meta search - Search
Brokenotbeat - Donate to a needy person each day - Economy
Bulletin* - Share data & mash them up with geo information - Geo
Buymyprofile - Buy or sell ad space on profile pages - Marketing
Camraoke - Submit, rate & share karaoke videos - Video
Casabobo~ - Put youraself on the map & date - Date
Cellpedia - Search for mobile phones - Search
Chipleaders (now Partypoker.com) - Poker community - Community
Collaborativerank - Search & rank - Search
Combots - Communicate & share emoti(c)ons 1 to 1 - Communicate
Correlates - Parallel product search - Ecommerce
Coursecafe - Share online research - Knowledge
Crowdiq - Social delphi; set up your own exchange for futures - Game
Delineate - Ranks top websites with Delicious tags & Alexa data - Data
Democracy (now: Miro) - Internet tv platform (client) - Video
Diggnews - Bookmark, rank & share interesting news - News
Diggol - Track your news & blogs on your own news page - News
Dodloo - Shopping info aggregator - Search
Dpolls - Create, vote for & search polls - Survey
Ecityxista - Buy internet real estate to increase traffic - Marketing
Egorss - Create meta feeds - RSS
Elite128 - Betting exchange - Gamble
Eurotopmodel~ - Rate photo models (map mash-up) - Geo
Eventell - Create & share records of events - Community
Excio - Geotag your blog & share it - Geo
Facebox - Now Netlog.com - Community
Fanaticzone - Digg sports - Dig
Feedcatch - Manage your feeds (now Feedshake) - RSS
Feedweaver - Add ads based on keywords you select to your website - Marketing
Fold - Personal portal (stopped) - Startpage
Fotograb* - Participate in & create photo treasure hunts - Game
Frugalbetty - Manage your spendings - Finance
Fundamentalee - Due diligence portal - Finance
Fygo - Connect to network, borrow or lend money - Finance
Fyuze - Feed portal - Startpage
Gadabe* - RSS metasearch (relaunched as Tagjag) - Search
Genielab - Explore, recommend & rate music - Audio
Geourl - Location 2 URL directory - Search
Getyourdaily - Compile & share your daily news - News
Giftornot - Get ideas for gifts (Amazon mash-up) - List
Googlecircles - Find common interest groups - Search
Googl-r - Views Google news as a tag cloud - News
Goop - Social tagging & more - Community
Groopus - Visualize your social context based on tags - Tag
Grouper (now Crackle.com) - Upload, create & share media - Multimedia
Groupsharp (acquired by HubSpot) - Share data, files & wikis - Productivity
Gtalkr (founders took job at Google) - Google Talk, Flickr, YouTube, feeds - Communicate
Helpwinmybet - Help this guy to get laid in a 3some - Economy
Homper - Personal portal - Portal
Hotxt (now Trutap) - Skype for sms - Communicate
Iamsearched - Are you googled-notification service - Search
Ilovemynanny - Nanny jobs & support - Employment
Imagegravy - Host & sell images - Images
Immediat - Messenger notifications of feeds - RSS
Imobio - Store, share & rank your mobile photos online - Images
Investle - Community based investment decision making - Finance
Ituneslove - Share your music tastes - Audio
Ivala - Order a photo montage (Latvian) - Images
Izimi (has become Sharenow.com) - Share everything, from your pc - Multimedia
Jazznoodle - Digg politics - Dig
Jimmystv - Post, watch & share videos - Video
Jotspot - Take one set of notes, live - Office
Justcurious - Q&A at random - Fun
Jyamit - Search for places - Search
Knover - Discover who's connected to what & whom - Search
Kollabor8 - Collaborate on image mutations - Images
Kritx - Social reviewing - Economy
Kweschun - Q&A - Knowledge
Lendmonkey - Trade everything - Economy
Lifeio - All to the people (never comes out of stealth) - Software
Linatree - Download, print & assemble your photo camera - Personal manufacturing
Linklog~ - Social bookmarking - Bookmark
Llor - Build your street - Game
Localspring - Social yellow pages directory - Ecommerce
Lookmarks - Social bookmarking - Bookmark
Loquendotts - Text2sneeze - Communicate
Makidi - Search (stealth) - Search
Mangezmangez - Publish, review & share restaurant information - Community
Maple - Social bookmarking - Bookmark
Mapmix - Find your friends (map mash-up) - Community
Mashmap - Find movies & showtimes (map mash-up) - Search
Mecenax - Donate & enjoy drm protected content - DRM
Memoryark (now: Ourstory) - Publish & share stories & photos - Multimedia
Mexbrowser - Stream all media in this browser - Multimedia
Mockingbird - Collaborative design (Stealth) - Design
Mophone (now Mixxer.com) - Store & share mobile content - Multimedia
Motorken - Digg automotive news - Bookmark
Msgurl - Shorten links - Software
Mybookmarkmanager - Social bookmarking - Bookmark
My-brand - Manage online advertising (now Ads-click) - Marketing
Myfreelanceauction - Buy or sell web services - Economy
Newradio - Find & vote for news - News
Newsbump - Digg news - Dig
Nulltag - News tag clouds - News
On2go - News & alerts on your mobile - News
Oolsi - Share links to free things - Economy
Openvlog - Upload & record video - Video
Opsdo - Hyper meta search - Search
Orca - Online personal desktop - OS
Outfoxed - Social search (now Lijit) - Search
Packagemapper - Track your package on a map - Geo
Parakey - Web OS - OS
Parazz - Store & share photos - Images
Peerprofile - Publish & share your profiles - Community
Peoplefeeds - Aggregate personal content - RSS
Pervwatch - Perv mash-up - Geo
Pheromonetrail - Share places & sites & persons - Geo
Pianist - Save your notes online - Office
Picturecloud - 360o view on your pics - Images
Pinbc - Pakistani int'l business and (?!) family networking - Community
Pissr - People in search of gender neutral restrooms - Community
Pixoh (now: Snipshot) - Edit pics online; relaunched as Snipshot - Images
Pixpix - Bookmark & share media - Bookmark
Pixpo - Broadcast your video site (now: Mixpo) - Video
Placestodo - Post & share places & things - Geo
Plueballs - Bookmark, rank & share film news - Bookmark
Plugaid - Start or participate in discussions & take them with you - Communicate
Pmachine - CMS - Publish
Podolicious - Personalized podcast news - News
Podzinger - Now Everyzing (http://www.everyzing.com/) - Search
Polidiggs - Digg political news - Dig
Poly9freeearth - 3D globe with various map layers - Geo
Quickmail - Email2RSS - Communicate
Readio - Blog2podcast - Audio
Relishio - Digg news - Dig
Reputata - Manage your reputation (stealth) - Identity
Rssmad - Feed reader & archive - RSS
Sametalk - Chat with other site visitors - Communicate
Saulweiner - Meta Web 2.0 list - About
Shood~ - Upload & share videos (crashed after launch) - Video
Shooter7 - Send photos, videos, music (app) - Multimedia
Showbloggers - Digg tv shows - Dig
Singlestatus - Myspace alert mash-up on member status - Community
Skillmeter - Identify, measure & retain talents thru assessments - Employment
Skombo - Sell & buy rare music - Ecommerce
Slister - Bookmark & list products - Ecommerce
Soapboxit - Share reviews on everything & everybody - Community
Socialcookbook - Post, rate & review recipes - Publish
Socialmarks - Social bookmarking - Bookmark
Socialmeter - Check your 2.0 site's popularity in 2.0-sphere - Survey
Squeet - Get news, blog articles or feeds in your email - News
Start - Personal portal - Startpage
Stickytag - Make & share notes - Office
Streamdrive - Upload & share multimedia - Multimedia
Streamload* - Store & share your media (now Mediamax) - Multimedia
Stridr - Upload & share or sell music - Audio
Studicious - Online note taking & sharing - Office
Studybuddy - Share notecards - Office
Subwaycrush - Dating(?) - Date
Swapcore - Watch, read & swap it - Multimedia
Swapzies - Store & share or sell multimedia - Multimedia
Swarmthedotcom* - See how other people browse & chat (Firefox) - Communicate
Tagspy - I tag so I am - Tag
Tagsy - Social bookmarking & feed management - Tag
Tagworld - Share music & photos - Multimedia
Talkinghub (now: Blogforum) - Add tags to your forum - Tag
Talktrust - Call anonymously - Communicate
Tanbul - Google-like search, better algorithm for user input - Search
Targetedpixel - Buy pixel space for 5 years - Marketing
Tastydish - Report, tag & share restaurants - List
Tello - Locate & collaborate with your key contacts - Communicate
Thenorp - Digg porn links - Dig
Thinglinks - Connect virtual with real world thru sema codes - Tag
Tickethappy - Shared CRM management - CRM
Topspot-ornot - Spot & review locations (map mash-up) - Geo
Toptaggers* - Tag, rank & share links - Search
Touchstone - Suscribe to your news & alerts - RSS
Tripster - Publish, recommend & share travel experiences (stealth) - Publish
Vcdiggz - Community based deal sourcing firm - Finance
Vicito - Group text service - Communicate
Vnccasts - Watch live broadcasts of people's computer screens - Video
Web20inbelgium (now: Blognation, Belgium) - Index of Belgian Web 2.0 initiatives - About
Web20interact - Rate & rank Web 2.0 sites (Icelandic) - About
Web20milliondollarhomepage - Pixel ads - Marketing
Webimager - Capture screens & upload them to Flickr - Images
Webringr - Create, send, manage & share links - Bookmark
Woeba - How to Web 2.0 list - About
Woolygans - Street culture community - Community
Woomp - Upload & share art, photos & video (now: Cpluv.com) - Multimedia
Woomu - Submit, vote for & rank videos - Video
Xboxkicks - Digg Xbox news - Rate
Yashi - Upload & share video(Merged with Bolt) - Video
Zamily - Connect & share with your family - Community
Ziblit - Recommend businesses to other consumers - List
Zigtag - Search, save & share results - Search
Zipingo - Find local business based on community input - Ecommerce
Zoobio - Startpage (now Zambio) - Startpage
Twitter usage numbers - My bet is 350 - 400K users
Twitter's upcoming next round of financing has recently revived the guess-how-many-registered-user-Twitter-has game, earlier today culminating in some new bets published by Michael Arrington, and by a bunch of commenters, under the promising TechCrunch title "End Of Speculation: The Real Twitter Usage Numbers".
I think all their guesswork (from 1+ million to nearly 4 million; elsewhere I've even seen figures above 10 million circulate) is way too positive.
When I simply (a) use Twitter's own location search as a basic input, then (b) taking the Top 50 of cities in the world where Web 2.0 things are most popular, then (c) counting how many registered Twitter users have specified any city in their profile (75%), and finally (d) multiplying that by a factor of 100/28 (28% is the share of the Top 50 cities in the world's Web 2.0 population in the benchmark stats that I used), the result is 375 thousand users.
I've doublechecked this with a similar extrapolation where I took the Top 50 of Web 2.0 countries as an alternative for (b), and the percentage of users specifying their country (40%) as an alternative for (c) - etcetera. The result is 350 thousand users. Close enough.
I did both exercises in a quick & dirty mode, using the stats of quite a different social media company as a benchmark. But I promise to eat my shoe if I'm more than 25% off the real, actual Twitter user figures.
For a social app like Twitter - with its strong connection to the real world - to reach the tipping point in any civilized market, the first thing you need is local density, i.e. a penetration of at least 1 to 2% in the biggest cities' populations. Twitter is nowhere near that level in any of the 50 cities that I've checked.
If I were them, I'd spend at least half of the next round on facilitating & promoting local events, meetings and parties in all major cities in their Top 12 markets, thus strengthening the ties between their users in real life, and boosting their density to the right levels.
29 April 2008
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Bias: I'm part of it.
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